RAIN just doubled in a day: What it means for novice traders

RAIN just doubled in a day. Here is what really happened, in simple English and with real numbers.

You open your crypto app. On the Top Gainers list you see a coin called RAIN up around one hundred percent in twenty four hours.

Most people would think, “I missed free money.”  Some people press buy without thinking.

Let us understand what really happened so you learn something from it, even if you never touch RAIN.

What is RAIN in simple words

RAIN is the token of Rain Protocol.  

When people say “protocol” in crypto, think of it like this:  

It is an online app that runs mostly by code, not by people pressing buttons in a company. Users connect their wallet, use the app and pay small fees. The rules are written in smart contracts.

Rain is a “prediction market” on the Arbitrum blockchain.

Prediction market means:  

• People create markets on real events  
• Example
  •  “Will team A win the match?”  
  • “Will the price of an asset be above this level on a date?”
• Traders buy “yes” or “no” shares  
• The app takes a small fee from trading

Some basic numbers right now:  

• Price around 0.007 to 0.008 dollar per RAIN  
• Market cap roughly 1.8 to 1.9 billion USD  
• Circulating supply about 238 billion RAIN  
• Twenty four hour trading volume around 110 to 120 million USD  
• Price up about 100 percent in one day and more than 120 percent (120%) in one week

From money and usage data:  

• Fees in the last 30 days around 130,000 USD  
• Protocol revenue (share that goes to holders) about 73,000 USD in 30 days  
• All platform fees are used to buy back and burn RAIN, which slowly reduces supply  

So you have a real product with real but still small revenue. The token value is huge compared to that revenue.

What event caused the pump?

Everything started from a small biotech company. Enlivex Therapeutics is a clinical stage biotech listed on Nasdaq. Recently it announced a big change.

Here is what they said in simple language:  

• They want to raise 212 million USD from investors  
• They plan to use most of that money to buy RAIN tokens  
• RAIN will be the main asset in their treasury  
• They will still run their normal biotech business  
• They added a big political name, Matteo Renzi, former prime minister of Italy, to their board  

Now the important part is size and proportion:  

• Before this news, Enlivex market cap was around 20 to 35 M USD  
• The planned raise is 212 M USD  
• So the raise is roughly 6 to 10 times bigger than the company itself  

And most of that is planned for one small token. That is why traders got excited, a tiny altcoin suddenly became the center of a two hundred twelve million dollar story.

What is a “digital asset treasury?”

Treasury is the money a company keeps on its balance sheet.  

Normally it sits in:  

• Cash  
• Bank deposits  
• Short term safe bonds

Digital asset treasury means:  

• Company decides to hold part of that money in crypto  
• That can be Bitcoin, Ethereum, or in this case RAIN

This is not standard and it is very risky, especially when the chosen coin is a very small one like RAIN.  

This is why the news created such a strong reaction.

How big is this for RAIN in numbers?

Let us do easy math using rough numbers:

• Planned amount = 212 M USD  
• RAIN price around 0.0075 USD per token  

If all 212 M USD went into RAIN at this price, then:  

• 212,000,000 / 0.0075 ≈ 28,000,000,000 RAIN  
• Circulating supply ≈ 238,000,000,000 RAIN  

So the company could theoretically buy around twelve percent of the circulating supply.

Of course in real life:  

• They may not raise full 212 M USD  
• They may not put all of it into RAIN  
• They will not buy everything at once

But even the plan on paper is large compared to the token.

Now look at the move:  

• RAIN launched around 0.0026 to 0.0027 USD in September 2025  
• It traded in that zone for a while  
• On this news it spiked above 0.008 USD  
• That is roughly 3x from early levels in a few months, and around 100 percent (100%) in a single day  

You can now feel why early holders are very happy.

What “exit liquidity” means here

This is a term people throw around, so let us make it very clear.

“Exit liquidity” means the people who buy at high prices so earlier holders can sell and “exit” their position.

Example  

• You bought RAIN at 0.002 USD  
• News comes, price jumps to 0.008 USD  
• New traders see plus 100 percent (100%) and buy at 0.008 USD without a plan  
• You sell to them at 0.008 USD

They are your exit liquidity. You exited your trade, they held the bag.

In this RAIN story, the possible groups are:  

Beneficiaries  

• Early RAIN holders who were in long before the news  
• Enlivex if the plan works and its own stock trades higher on hype  
• Rain Protocol team if attention brings more users and volume  
• Traders who bought before the pump and lock in profit with a plan

Possible exit liquidity  

• People who only saw plus 100 percent (100%) on the screen and bought without knowing the story  
• People who believe 212 M USD will instantly “moon” the price in a straight line  
• High leverage traders who jumped in late and get liquidated on the first 20 to 30 percent (20-30%) dip

This does not mean RAIN is fake. It means price can move much faster than real business growth, and someone always becomes the last buyer of the move.

How strong are the fundamentals right now

Take feelings out and look at the numbers.

From data sites and on chain dashboards:  

• Market cap around 1.8 to 1.9 billion USD  
• Protocol revenue last 30 days ≈ 73,000 USD  
• Fees last 30 days ≈ 130,000 USD  
• TVL in the app roughly around 1 M USD 

Here TVL means “Total Value Locked.”  

• Simple meaning: it is the total amount of money that users have currently put into this app, for example inside markets, pools or contracts. It is one rough way to see how much real money is using the system.

So right now RAIN is:

• A young app  
• With small but real income  
• With a very large token value  
• Now sitting on top of a big, risky corporate news story

For a learner, this is the main lesson: hype and valuation can run far ahead of actual business numbers, especially for altcoins.

What could happen next

This is not a prediction, there are three simple paths this could lead to:

Scenario one 
The plan works and buying is real.

• Enlivex closes the fundraise  
• They actually buy RAIN over time  
• This creates steady demand over many months  
• Price does not have to explode again, but it can stay strong while this buying continues  

Here the risk is that early holders use this liquidity to silently sell. So the price can be strong but choppy.

Scenario two 
The plan slows down or changes  

• Raise takes longer, amount is smaller, or rules change  
• Hype cools down  
• Traders who came only for fast pump leave  
• Price can retrace a big part of the move and return closer to old levels

For late buyers this is painful. For people waiting with cash it can be an opportunity if they still believe in the long term story.

Scenario three 
Protocol grows into the story  

• Prediction markets become more popular  
• Rain grows volume, fees and TVL month after month  
• More users come in because of the attention  
• Over time, revenue and usage start to justify more of the valuation

This is the healthiest version, but it takes years, not days. Most people will not have that patience.

Reality is usually a mix. Some hype, some short term dump, some real growth, sometimes all of them together.

What you should learn if you only know Bitcoin

If you are just a normal Bitcoin holder and not a trader, here is the simple takeaway:

• RAIN is a very small, very risky altcoin  
• A small public company said it wants to raise a huge amount of money and buy that altcoin for its treasury  
• This story pushed the price up around 100 percent in one day  
• The real business behind RAIN is still small and early  
• Altcoin news like this can create crazy charts, but also big downside once the hype cools

So do not treat RAIN like Bitcoin. Bitcoin is a global asset with deep liquidity and a long history. RAIN is a niche token with a fresh story and heavy risk. Use this case as a learning example on how news, numbers and human emotion can mix together.

Short summary

• RAIN is a prediction market token that just doubled in a day  
• The main trigger was a 212 M USD treasury plan from a small Nasdaq biotech that wants to buy a lot of RAIN and hold it  
• In theory they could try to buy close to twelve percent (12%) of circulating supply at current prices  
• Fundamentals are real but small, with about 73,000 USD revenue in 30 days and around 1 M USD TVL against a multi-billion dollar token value  
• Early holders and disciplined traders can win, late and emotional buyers risk becoming exit liquidity  
• This is a high risk story coin, not something you put in the same category as Bitcoin

If you keep one habit from this story, make it this and always ask these questions:

• What really happened  
• How big is it in numbers  
• Who benefits  
• Who might be the exit  

*The above article was for educational purposes and not financial advice